Predictions for Sacramento and the surrounding area for 2008

It's that time of year where everyone comes out with their list of predictions. Who would have guessed that 2007 would see The Towers and Aura projects fall apart? It seemed like in January 2007, these were the hottest things going on the west coast. Or that the housing market would crumble in Sacramento? Here goes my best attempts as a long-time Sacramento resident at predictions for the new year. We'll see in 11 more months how I did.

Prediction #1- The major I-5 construction project will not be finished in 2008 and there will be major traffic consequences, leading to the funding of the DNA lightrail line. That's right you read it here first! Using the Sac Bee's article about more downtown congestion being purposefully initiated by the city to generate interest in alternative transportation, we predict that when Caltrans starts making a hole in the Q street/I-5 sunken road, a messy disaster will strike. Followed by a renewed interest and funding for the DNA airport line. Not that it will get built any faster.

Prediction #2- Absolutely nothing will happen with the arena. Nothing. As in the Kings will still play at Arco and no progress will be made with Cal Expo talks.

Prediction #3- Absolutely nothing will happen with K Street. Mo Mohanna will tie up the redevelopment of K Street in court. We will have more of the same for another year.

Prediction #4- Arden Arcade will be successful in their Nov 2008 bid to become a city.

Prediction #5- Natomas will not flood this year. I'm keeping my fingers crossed. This is more of a hope than a prediction but one that's worth making. If I'm right, I get to keep my house. If I'm wrong, I'll be in a white FEMA trailer next year this time and I won't be blogging to tell you about it anyway.

The Chaos (aka CalTrans) is about to begin...

The worst traffic snafu you've ever seen in Sacramento is coming... and it's going to last for at least 8 months. Yes you read that right, for 8 months Sacramento will be thrown into traffic chaos. According to the Bee, beginning in February or March, Caltrans will shut down sections of I-5 through downtown daily for months and months to repair the section of I-5 that is below river-level. The current plan is to close one or two lanes in each direction from Richards to the 50 interchange.

I don't mean to be alarmist but this is going to be a serious mess! Regardless of what time of day, the downtown area is always slow as people try to get off downtown, get over to the interchange at 50/80/99 and the tourists get lost because signage is bad. Can you imagine what the downtown area will look like during Jazz Jubilee? It's bad enough Jubilee weekend that most locals avoid downtown like the plague but now we have to content with tourists and closed lanes. I think we'll go to LA that weekend... the traffic can't be worse.

The road's a mess and it has to get fixed, I'll give Caltrans that. I'm pretty sure that building a major freeway below river level was not the best idea and that in a post-Katrina world, we really need an upgrade. I wish the plans included a raised section so that we won't have to tear it all back up again in 30 years.

My bigger concern is the possibility of the City to just overlook the entire situation. Quoting the Bee's quote "Hopefully more folks will take light rail, buses and carpool" city traffic official Hector Barron said.

Uhh.... what light rail? The City let builders develop the entire North Natomas area without light rail. Where's the DNA line? Stuck on someone's desk. Buses... there's a thought. Hypothetically if I wanted to ride the bus from the Kohl's in North Natomas to downtown it'll take between 25 and 46 minutes, assuming all buses are on time and I only want to travel on the weekdays during rush hour. Best I can tell, you CANNOT get downtown from North Natomas on the weekends. According to RT's online trip planner "There is no service on the day or at the time you've requested. Please try a different date or time."

My recommendation to the city- you'd better get ready to throw some serious funding towards the North Natomas Transportation Management Association and be prepared to cover alternate routes with bus coverage and weekend routes. You cannot ask people to 'hopefully' use alternate routes if you don't provide them. I'd also up the number of carpool spots in City lots and make parking with an authorized carpool free during the traffic problems. Let City workers with non-essential job duties telecommute, work alternate schedules or give carpool bonuses during the first month in particular.

But whatever they decide to do, they have to do something... just waiting until the chaos begins just isn't a good option.